DOI - Mendel University Press

DOI identifiers

DOI: 10.11118/978-80-7509-904-4-0014

ASSESSMENT OF EXTREME LONG-TERM METEOROLOGICAL DROUGHT IN THE NORTHERN PART OF SERBIA

Martina Zeleňáková, Milan Gocić, Hany Farhat Abd-Elhamid, Mladen Milanović, Tatiana Soľáková

The need to quantify and assess the extreme precipitation deficit is increasing due to climate changing. Long-term precipitation deficits result in the spread of drought to other spheres: hydrosphere and lithosphere, and this leads to negative effects on biodiversity (fauna and flora) as well as human activities such as reduction of electricity production, prevention or elimination of recreational and tourism activities. This paper deals with the assessment of long-term meteorological drought in 5 synoptic stations in the northern part of Serbia. Standardized Precipitation Index was computed in 12-month time scales for identification of extreme meteorological drought for a reference period from 1946 to 2021. The main characteristics of the meteorological drought and relative drought frequency are calculated. The most serious extreme long-term meteorological drought was recorded mainly in 1948 and 2001. The average return period of extreme meteorological drought in the studied area is 11.8 years, but it is specific for each station separately.

Keywords: Frequency analysis, Standardized Precipitation Index, extreme episode, meteorological drought, Serbia

pages: 14-19, Published: 2023, online: 2023



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